Just out of interest I have applied a betting approach to the scoring system. The idea is that you reward the braver predictions through working the scores out using odds. I took the match odds before each of the rounds from Paddypower, and then scored as follows:
- Notional £5 stake per game
- If you win, you earn the profits from that bet, so it was 1/2, you would get 2.5 points, if it was 3/1 you would get 15 points
- If you lose you get -5 points
- Still get the same points scoring system for the group
Based on this, you get a different picture:
Top ten as follows:
Pos | Name | Score |
1 | Nick Barford | 129.9 |
2 | Gareth Lewis | 128.4 |
3 | Jon Simpson | 127.9 |
4 | Rob Doody | 115.7 |
5 | James Dillon | 110.1 |
6 | Mark Smith | 109.8 |
7 | Mike Harris | 104.5 |
8 | Dean Fletcher | 96.3 |
9 | Andrew Walton | 90.5 |
10 | Julie Peters | 89.8 |
Summary Alternative Scores – 01_07 – pdf
And if you take out the table points, you can see what you would have won if you had put a bet on each of the outcomes you have predicted. Nick Barford would be £86 better off, whilst Tom Orford would be £69 down! Personally, I wouldn’t be languishing in 39th, I would be a much more respectable 22nd!
Thought I would do something constructive on a world cup night off!
Disclaimer: This is just a piece of fun analysis and does not constitute a change of the official scoring system. Odds can go up as well as down. All terms and conditions apply. See website for more details.